This alert expired on 3 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the strongest of the 54 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued September 2 at 10:13PM EDT until September 2 at 11:45PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
An estimated 99,475 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- August 10, 2026 · score 43 · 11.2 km
- June 11, 2026 · score 37 · 15.6 km
- June 26, 2026 · score 43 · 17.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 45 out of 100, at 92 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 45 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 92% |
| Coordinates | 42.3241, -79.8263 |
| Nearest City | Erie (31 km) |
| Population Exposed | 99.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-03T02:13:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.dca8294a8a7d8acd673c8b09d339feed95b0c651.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Ripley to Dunkirk NY; Dunkirk to Buffalo NY; Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued September 2 at 10:13PM EDT until September 2 at 11:45PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH |
| Expires | 2026-09-02T23:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Cleveland OH |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dca8294a8a7d8acd673c8b09d339feed95b0c651.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bef54477ec683e737758c0c449e6bfdede1d1cd6.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 100 |
| Spc Location | 1 SE Harborcreek |
| Spc County | Erie |
| Spc State | PA |
| Spc Comments | (CLE) |
| Iem TypeSummary | E |
| Iem City | 1 SW Erie |
| Iem County | Erie |
| Iem State | PA |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 45/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.